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Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026? Yes: real money 24%, play money 27% No: real money 76%, play money 73% Volume: real money 229.96809889, play money 21000.0053 Bettors: real money 2, play money 5 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Global Conflicts, Ukraine Related markets Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 50% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71%

Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the United States government will formally approve the delivery of Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or notifications by the U.S. government confirming approval of such a transfer.

If the U.S. government formally approves the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Informal discussions or speculation without formal approval will not count. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive approval decision, not subsequent delivery timelines. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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