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Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 20%, play money 25% No: real money 80%, play money 75% Volume: real money 37.31472918, play money 131.67894737 Bettors: real money 6, play money 4 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 8764.977145, play 885692.73684831 Bettors: real 122, play 214 Leading (real money): Lula 62% Leading (play money): Lula 76% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1083.15402801, play 42985.82935825 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 23% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1514.55129028, play 35663.3363276 Bettors: real 20, play 117 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 41% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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