Markets
Leaderboard
Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 25%, play money 25% No: real money 75%, play money 75% Volume: real money 199.94, play money 20000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2666.17861997, play 452427.9782 Bettors: real 73, play 117 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1442.06982122, play 78179.99024344 Bettors: real 9, play 108 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 47% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 73% Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? (ID: 215103) Volume: real 1807.52423562, play 103426.68140281 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 3% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets