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Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 11%, play money 9% No: real money 89%, play money 91% Volume: real money 15.81960421, play money 3091.28843257 Bettors: real money 7, play money 5 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506232.79690227 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1108.22764708, play 241783.13116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6615.77746566, play 1064597.30762003 Bettors: real 101, play 1874 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 98% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 90% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 280411.38954277 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 116.37171538, play 165469.25877647 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4%

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.

If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count. If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive full membership status, not informal cooperation. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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