Markets
Leaderboard
Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026? Yes: real money 20%, play money 16% No: real money 80%, play money 84% Volume: real money 100.27040849, play money 11190.54742136 Bettors: real money 5, play money 5 Categories: Politics, USA, Congress Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 115647.39564601 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 75% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.61949177, play 137976.01234673 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 10% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.92761259, play 255081.82083213 Bettors: real 43, play 550 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20%

Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether any federal judge of the United States will be impeached during calendar year 2026. For this market, impeachment means approval of articles of impeachment by the U.S. House of Representatives. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming impeachment proceedings.

If the U.S. House of Representatives approves articles of impeachment against any federal judge during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Investigations, impeachment inquiries, or Senate trials without House approval will not count. If congressional records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of impeachment by the House, not subsequent trial outcomes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets