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Will any Marvel movie surpass $1 Billion at the box office in 2026? Yes: real money 90%, play money 85% No: real money 10%, play money 15% Volume: real money 289.14936318, play money 32659.9804 Bettors: real money 3, play money 7 Categories: Entertainment, Box Office Related markets Test linked into independent (ID: 235837) Volume: real 33.33, play 20639.90353333 Bettors: real 0, play 4 Leading (real money): Market 1 51% Leading (play money): Market 1 98% Test 4 (ID: 235889) Volume: real 11.10888889, play 1815.61281111 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): M1 51% Leading (play money): M1 45% test 5 (ID: 235890) Volume: real 99.98, play 3860.30553333 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): M3 — Leading (play money): M1 47% Test 6 (ID: 235901) Volume: real 33.33, play 3518.53733333 Bettors: real 0, play 1 Leading (real money): M1 51% Leading (play money): M1 49% Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic) (ID: 231741) Volume: real 336.91411954, play 29441.3196 Bettors: real 36, play 21 Leading (real money): Spider-Man: Brand New Day 42% Leading (play money): Spider-Man: Brand New Day 51%

Will any Marvel movie surpass $1 Billion at the box office in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether any movie released as part of Marvel Studios’ film slate during 2026 will surpass USD 1 billion in worldwide box office revenue by the end of the year. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the worldwide box office totals published by Box Office Mojo.

If Box Office Mojo reports that at least one Marvel movie released in 2026 earned more than USD 1 billion in worldwide box office revenue, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Re-releases or cumulative totals including prior years will not count. If box office reporting is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major entertainment industry publications. Resolution will reflect verified worldwide box office totals, not projections. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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