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North Carolina's Senate election winner Democratic Party: real money 89%, play money 83% Republican Party: real money 11%, play money 17% Volume: real money 288.29223271, play money 11195.76225925 Bettors: real money 18, play money 20 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Midterm Elections, Senate Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2742.54682011, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 37% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1713.94325266, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

North Carolina's Senate election winner

Market Rules

This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of North Carolina, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from North Carolina will resolve to "Yes". A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.

If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by North Carolina law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the North Carolina State Board of Elections. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winning candidate, not concession speeches or preliminary projections. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.

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