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Arizona Governor election winner Democratic Party: real money 85%, play money 89% Republican Party: real money 15%, play money 11% Volume: real money 317.94081823, play money 11691.86750287 Bettors: real money 14, play money 10 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Midterm Elections, Gubernatorial Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2742.54682011, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 37% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1713.94325266, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Arizona Governor election winner

Market Rules

This event concerns which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Arizona, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Arizona will resolve to "Yes". A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.

Arizona does not require a runoff election. The candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes in the general election is declared the winner.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Arizona (e.g., the Arizona Secretary of State). If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially certified winner, not projections, concession speeches, or media calls. If a fair determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the event with a public explanation.

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