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Brazil 12-month inflation (IPCA) — July 2026 Above 4.20%: real money 99%, play money 99% Above 4.30%: real money 93%, play money 93% Above 4.40%: real money 93%, play money 93% Above 4.50%: real money 49%, play money 49% Above 4.60%: real money 4%, play money 28% Above 4.70%: real money 4%, play money 4% Above 4.80%: real money 2%, play money 2% Above 4.90%: real money 1%, play money 1% Above 5.00%: real money 2%, play money 22% Above 5.10%: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 115.34657651, play money 0 Bettors: real money 4, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Brazil, Inflation Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506232.79690227 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1108.22764708, play 243281.48116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 100% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6621.31801412, play 1069852.41227311 Bettors: real 101, play 1876 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 99% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 283510.72894153 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 7% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 124.1569683, play 166490.64881065 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 2%

Brazil 12-month inflation (IPCA) — July 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if Brazil’s 12-month inflation rate measured by the IPCA, for the twelve months ending July 2026, as first published by IBGE (two decimal places), is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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