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US unemployment rate — September 2026 Above 3.9%: real money 87%, play money 87% Above 4.0%: real money 72%, play money 72% Above 4.1%: real money 47%, play money 47% Above 4.2%: real money 14%, play money 14% Above 4.3%: real money 11%, play money 11% Above 4.4%: real money 6%, play money 6% Above 4.8%: real money 6%, play money 6% Above 4.9%: real money 8%, play money 8% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 30904.17286983 Bettors: real 24, play 86 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1504.07725659, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

US unemployment rate — September 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted US unemployment rate (U-3) for September 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation report, is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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