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Knesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026 Yes: real money 38%, play money 44% No: real money 62%, play money 56% Volume: real money 65.21822948, play money 0 Bettors: real money 2, play money 0 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 7550.0905113, play 125525.46331001 Bettors: real 32, play 109 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 29% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 3% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2770.42679439, play 122348.76181409 Bettors: real 39, play 217 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 81% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337877.09546161 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1759.43507105, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 31% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Knesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026

Market Rules

SUMMARY

Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. The market in this event resolves according to whether the Knesset votes on expressing confidence in a new government by the end of 2026, based on official information from the Knesset, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary confirmation.

 

FULL DETAILS

If the Knesset votes on whether to express confidence in a new Israeli government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC), this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify regardless of its passage. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify, and the continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The Primary Designated Source is official information from the Knesset; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a qualifying vote takes place; once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable. For context, Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026.

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