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US unemployment: October Above 4.0%: real money 87%, play money 87% Above 4.1%: real money 61%, play money 61% Above 4.2%: real money 30%, play money 30% Above 4.6%: real money 10%, play money 10% Above 4.7%: real money 16%, play money 16% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1587.14367219, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 88, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 30, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

US unemployment: October

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted US unemployment rate (U-3) for October 2026, as reported by the BLS in the Employment Situation report scheduled for November 6, 2026, is strictly above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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