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When will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court? Before January 1, 2027: real money 15%, play money 15% Before April 1, 2027: real money 17%, play money 17% Before July 1, 2027: real money 50%, play money 50% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1636.64556275, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

When will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?

Market Rules

These markets count only announcements made after 1:00 PM ET on October 15, 2026 (17:00 UTC) and before each market's listed date; announcements before that start are not counted, even if made while this event is already open for trading. A market resolves "Yes" if Samuel Alito's retirement from the US Supreme Court is publicly announced or officially communicated within its period, regardless of the effective date of the retirement. Markets resolve independently — more than one can resolve "Yes".

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