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Will the existence of the so-called “hate office” be proven by the Fake News CPMI? No: real money —, play money 52% Yes: real money —, play money 48% Volume: real money 1040, play money 7743.15873951 Bettors: real money 0, play money 32 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress, Fake News Inquiry Related markets Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? (ID: 163593) Volume: real 134.63626781, play 6200.02 Bettors: real 3, play 11 Leading (real money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 22% Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? (ID: 166903) Volume: real 422.56782969, play 48116.87610589 Bettors: real 11, play 71 Leading (real money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 3% Leading (play money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 8% PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? (ID: 203256) Volume: real 163.6807789, play 49300.00921686 Bettors: real 4, play 13 Leading (real money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 7% Leading (play money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 12%

Will the existence of the so-called “hate office” be proven by the Fake News CPMI?

Market Rules

In September 2019, the Brazilian Congress opened a Joint Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry (CPMI, in the Portuguese abbreviation) to investigate the illegal use of mass automatic shooting of false news to influence public opinion during the 2018 national elections. One of the topics under investigation is the alleged existence of the so-called "Hate Cabinet", which would have acted favorably to Jair Bolsonaro in the 2018 presidential elections.

If in its final report the CPMI cites the existence of an organized group acting favorably to Jair Bolsonaro's campaign through massive dissemination of fake news aimed at influencing the 2018 Elections, this market will be resolved as "Yes".

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