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Will PEC 199/19 (also known as 2nd trial PEC) be approved by Brazil's Congress in 2020? No: real money —, play money 63% Yes: real money —, play money 37% Volume: real money 1040, play money 1961.62 Bettors: real money 0, play money 2 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 10350.68062532, play 882845.58923766 Bettors: real 49, play 199 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 19% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23% Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? (ID: 163593) Volume: real 192.78206371, play 1444.99675661 Bettors: real 9, play 16 Leading (real money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 19% Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? (ID: 231592) Volume: real 10.29247237, play 1979.49185891 Bettors: real 6, play 9 Leading (real money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 16%

Will PEC 199/19 (also known as 2nd trial PEC) be approved by Brazil's Congress in 2020?

Market Rules

In October, 2019, the Supreme Court of Brazil ruled that it is unconstitutional to imprison defendants who were convicted by an appellate court while they are still appealing to higher courts, except in a few specific case scenarios. Since then, several proposals have been brought forward in Congress - trying to change the law or the Constitution - in order to make such imprisonmnet legal.

A prominent option among those innitiatives is the Constitutional Amendment Project (PEC) 199/2019, which proposes to change articles 102 and 105 of the Constitution in order to achieve that goal.

If PEC 199/2019 is approved by both the Brazilian Senate and the Brazilian House of Representatives, and sancioned by the President by December 31, 2020, this market will be resolved as "Yes".

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