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Who will be the next Justice to leave the Supreme Court of the United States? Stephen G. Breyer: real money —, play money 89% Clarence Thomas: real money —, play money 10% John G. Roberts, Jr.: real money —, play money 1% Elena Kagan: real money —, play money 1% Neil M. Gorsuch: real money —, play money 1% Sonia Sotomayor: real money —, play money 1% Amy Coney Barrett: real money —, play money 1% Samuel A. Alito, Jr.: real money —, play money 1% Brett M. Kavanaugh: real money —, play money 1% Volume: real money 48.308015, play money 2218.98 Bettors: real money 0, play money 7 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? (ID: 231549) Volume: real 0.30052386, play 631.68092499 Bettors: real 5, play 4 Leading (real money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 25% Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? (ID: 231666) Volume: real 19.79272505, play 3155.53229814 Bettors: real 6, play 6 Leading (real money): Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? 11% Leading (play money): Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? 10% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 107.38121299, play 3013.37809888 Bettors: real 40, play 46 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 26% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 54%

Who will be the next Justice to leave the Supreme Court of the United States?

Market Rules

This market will be resolved depending on which of the 9 justices of the Supreme Court of the United States currently serving (as of May 2021) is the first to create a vacancy on the Court by permanently departing active service for any reason. Resolution will only happen when such vacancy becomes effective, and not when plans for that are announced. If two justices leave at the exact same date, the one with the most advanced age will be considered the first to leave.

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