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Will Bolsonaro be investigated for "incompatibility with the dignity, honor, and decorum of the presidency"? No: real money 65%, play money 53% Yes: real money 35%, play money 47% Volume: real money 116.06998171, play money 5200 Bettors: real money 2, play money 2 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress, CPI da Covid Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 0.90049904, play 868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 9999.97974245, play 871964.27296509 Bettors: real 48, play 197 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 23% Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? (ID: 163593) Volume: real 192.78206371, play 1444.99675661 Bettors: real 9, play 16 Leading (real money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026? 19% Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? (ID: 231592) Volume: real 10.29247237, play 1979.49185891 Bettors: real 6, play 9 Leading (real money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 16%

Will Bolsonaro be investigated for "incompatibility with the dignity, honor, and decorum of the presidency"?

Market Rules

In October 2021, Brazil's Attorney General's Office ordered the opening of a preliminary investigation to analyze the data gathered by "CPI da Covid" against 13 individuals with privileged jurisdiction, including President Jair Bolsonaro. After that, the team of Brazil's Attorney General Augusto Aras declared his team would analyze the evidence presented by the CPI and assess whether it should require a formal investigation before Brazil's Federal Supreme Court (STF) or Superior Court of Justice (STJ).

If, by the end of 2021, Brazil's Attorney General's Office requests the opening of a full investigation against President Jair Bolsonaro for the crime of “Incompatibility with the dignity, honor, and decorum of the presidency", this market will resolve to "Yes".

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