Will Russia annex any part of the Lithuanian territory by the end of 2022?
Market Rules
Some boundaries between states in the region of the Baltic Sea are defined by relatively recent treaties and were subject to many and traumatic geopolitical shifts. In 2014, for example, Russia annexed the Ukrainian region of Crimea. In 2017, Lithuania was funded by NATO to reinforce its border area with the Kaliningrad oblast.
Despite the end of the Cold War, the Russian Federation still has significant political, social, and economic influence over the Baltic states, and frequently holds big military drills in the region from time to time. Might such a scenario eventually lead to a new territorial claim?
If Russia claims authority over some portion of the Lithuanian territory and deploys military forces over the referred area by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes".