Will Serbia normalize relations with Kosovo by the end of 2023?
Market Rules
Serbia is undergoing reforms to enable its accession to the European Union, to which the country officially applied in 2009. However, the first requirement in Chapter 35 of the accession document is that Serbia must normalize relations with Kosovo before being granted membership. Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2009, but Serbia still considers it to be an insurgent province, even though more than 100 other countries recognize Kosovo's autonomy.
If by December 31, 2023, the European Union officially declares that either Serbia has successfully normalized relations with Kosovo, or that Serbia's engagement to normalize these relations has been sufficient to access the EU, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
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- pedro_brito: Market should be resolved, considering the Ohrid Agreement, that took place on March. https://press.un.org/en/2023/sc15268.doc.htm
- Futuur: Hello, pedro_brito . The Ohrid Agreement lays out the path to normalization, and that is a big progress, but it is not the same as effectively normalizing relations just yet. As the article you linked to stresses quite well, "leaders from the region have expressed their support for the process now being undertaken by both sides to advance on the path to normalization", making it clear that the two sides are still on the path to that. Since the market demands either a successful normalization or that the engagement in the process is sufficient to access the EU, it cannot resolve to "Yes" just yet.