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Any US Supreme Court Justice to go through a formal impeachment process in 2024? No: real money 95%, play money 92% Yes: real money 5%, play money 8% Volume: real money 284.50338407, play money 42301.2 Bettors: real money 18, play money 113 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1497.42263567, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1111.38306679, play 49356.17081938 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 10% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

Any US Supreme Court Justice to go through a formal impeachment process in 2024?

Market Rules

Even though US Supreme Court Justices Gorsuch and Kavanaugh had testified under oath during their confirmation hearing that they believed Roe v. Wade settled legal precedent, they both voted to reverse the ruling in June 2022. Some lawmakers interpret this gesture as lying under oath, which could lead to an impeachment process.

If any Supreme Court Justice becomes the target of an impeachment process that is formally opened by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The Justice does not necessarily need to be removed from office or step down in order to this market to resolve as “Yes”.

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Comments

  • hugotss: sparkman_dan#193453 Filing is not a formal opening. It's just a request to open.
  • sparkman_dan: Aoc filed articles of impeachment on July 10th.  That seems like "the formal opening of an impeachment process."
  • paulinho13: Sim
  • nasiruiliyadamau: Yes

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