Will the United States launch a military attack on Venezuelan territory in 2023?
Market Rules
If by December 31st, 2023, the United States launches a military attack against Iranian targets located inside Venezuelan territory – be it through the deployment of air, marine, or ground forces – this market will resolve to "Yes".
The attack will only be considered official for the resolution of this market if it is publicly confirmed by the White House or by the United Nations, including the fact that it was performed within the borders of Venezuelan territory.
Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market. Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes shooting projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicle deployment inside Iranian territory. The deployment of airships and warships to Iranian territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.