Will ballistic missiles be launched between India and China by the end of 2023?
Market Rules
The Kashmir region has been subject to rising tension between China and India since their military standoff in May 2020, which led to subsequent minor combats.
Despite diplomatic dialogue and rounds of mutual military consultations, it is still uncertain if tensions will develop to disengagement or open combat. Both India and China have test-fired missiles in recent months, and regional commanders do not discard a bigger conflict as a possible outcome.
If by December 31, 2023, at least one ballistic missile is launched from India’s military facilities onto China's military or civil facilities - or the other way around - this market will resolve to “Yes”.