Will anyone be formally charged by Rio de Janeiro's Public Ministry for ordering the assassination of Marielle Franco by the end of 2023? No: real money 83%, play money 93% Yes: real money 17%, play money 7% Volume: real money 327.13454168, play money 28290 Bettors: real money 17, play money 56 Categories: Politics, Brazil Related markets Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 100.5603685, play 10868.06076891 Bettors: real 12, play 4 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? (ID: 203256) Volume: real 169.03325676, play 50745.98196284 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 7% Leading (play money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 8%

Will anyone be formally charged by Rio de Janeiro's Public Ministry for ordering the assassination of Marielle Franco by the end of 2023?

Market Rules

This prediction market aims to determine whether anyone will be formally charged by Brazilian authorities — Ministério Público do Rio de Janeiro in particular — for ordering the assassination of Marielle Franco by the end of 2023. The outcome will be determined based on an official announcement from the Brazilian authorities, or news reports from major news outlets that Futuur deems credible.

For this market, "formally charged" refers to the process where Brazilian authorities file charges against an individual or group for their alleged role in ordering the assassination of Marielle Franco. This does not necessarily imply a conviction or a guilty verdict, but merely the formal accusation made by the authorities.

The market will resolve as 'Yes' if, at any point in 2023 or before, the Public Ministry of Rio de Janeiro presents a formal charge against any individual for ordering the assassination of Marielle Franco, and 'No' if not.

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