MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term More than 180: real money 57%, play money 44% Between 140 and 180: real money 42%, play money 14% Between 60 and 100: real money 5%, play money 4% More than 100, less than 140: real money 5%, play money 4% Less than 60: real money 3%, play money 36% Volume: real money 228.7961481, play money 19157.03 Bettors: real money 36, play money 82 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Scandals Related markets Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? (ID: 231548) Volume: real 208.5973535, play 22300.0911 Bettors: real 8, play 5 Leading (real money): Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? 18% Leading (play money): Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? 17% Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? (ID: 231687) Volume: real 243.96616345, play 25038.44974155 Bettors: real 10, play 12 Leading (real money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 24% Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 100.87049904, play 10868.36076891 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? (ID: 203256) Volume: real 193.96571578, play 58144.12388111 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 3% Leading (play money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 2%

MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term

Market Rules

The number of land land occupation innitiatives championed by the Landless Workers Movement (MST) in Brazil, which had been gradually decreasing since 2002, grew sensibly since the beginning of Lula’s administration in 2023, to the point that such growth was used as justification for the creation of a parliamentary investigation on the movement.

This market will resolve in favor of the outcome whose range of values contains the correct number of land occupations promoted by MST while Lula da Silva is the sitting president (first term), according to data from the Colonization and Land Reform National Institute (Incra) and other eventually relevant sources of information.

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