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US basic interest rate at the end of 2024 4.0%-4.4%: real money 92%, play money 97% 4.5%-4.9%: real money 6%, play money 2% Less than 3.5%: real money 1%, play money 1% 3.5%-3.9%: real money 1%, play money 1% 5.0% or more: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 1024.38381339, play money 34530.1 Bettors: real money 35, play money 40 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2451.3416882, play 32428.76163468 Bettors: real 26, play 91 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 44% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1126.05809971, play 62529.71983764 Bettors: real 19, play 57 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 11% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

US basic interest rate at the end of 2024

Market Rules

This market will be resolved according to the target goal for the United States basic interest rate, as determined by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

Taking into account that the FED normally determines a target range for the basic interest rate rather than a single target value, this market will be resolved based on the lowest value in the target range at the end of the year. For example: if the target range at the end of the year is 4.25%-4.50%, this winning outcome of this market will be "4.0% to 4.4%", and not "4.5% to 4.9%".

FOMC's last ordinary meeting of the year is set to take place on December 17 and 18, but additional emergency meetings may be held between that date and December 31. Therefore, Futuur will close this market for bets on December 18 but may wait until December 31 to resolve it, to account for any eventual changes that might occur during such additional meetings.

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