Iran to declare war against Israel in 2024?
Market Rules
This prediction market aims to determine whether the government of Iran will formally declare war against Israel before the end of 2024. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements from the Iranian government, and credible media reports.
The market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran makes a formal declaration of war against Israel at any point by December 31, 2024. A 'formal declaration of war' refers to an official statement by the Iranian government or its representative, publicly announcing that a state of war exists between Iran and Israel.
Military actions alone without an explicit declaration of war will not lead this market to resolve to "Yes". Declaration of combat or military damage inflicted against the Israeli armed forces by fighters from Hezbollah and other forces characterized as "proxy agents" of Iran will not lead this market to resolve to "Yes" either.