Will Israel neutralize Mohammed Deif by the end of April? No: real money 97%, play money 95% Yes: real money 3%, play money 5% Volume: real money 438.88651565, play money 32700.1 Bettors: real money 7, play money 4 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Palestine Related markets Will Israel normalize relations with _____ in 2026? (ID: 231743) Volume: real 123.4620898, play 7597.33622692 Bettors: real 19, play 15 Leading (real money): Saudi Arabia 11% Leading (play money): Qatar 12% Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 422.945184, play 39742.49503365 Bettors: real 16, play 20 Leading (real money): December 31 20% Leading (play money): December 31 21% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 593.7374284, play 89157.46318497 Bettors: real 14, play 24 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 38% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 195.67318871, play 30392.86154679 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 6% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 3%

Will Israel neutralize Mohammed Deif by the end of April?

Market Rules

According to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the mission of the military operation unleashed in Gaza is to entirely destroy Hamas and recover the hostages taken from Israel’s territory in October 2023. To achieve these objectives, some of Israel's targets were the leaders of Hamas, where Mohammed Deif acts as head of the military wing.

This market aims to predict if Israel Defense Forces (IDF) will get to neutralize Mohammed Deif, one of Hamas's leaders in the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30th, 2024, any of the following actions is fulfilled by the IDF:

    1. Locate and reach Mohammed Deif in person,
    2. Capture Mohammed Deif, or
    3. Confirm the death of Mohammed Deif as a consequence of any activity performed by the IDF.

The occurrence of any of the situations above will be assessed based on official statements made by the IDF, Hamas, the United Nations, or credible news outlets.

Tags

Comments

  • xitman: Mercados de "final de abril" já concluidos, hoje é 02 de maio. Só falta o futtur encerrar.

People also viewed