Will Israel’s current war against Hamas be over by the end of June 2024?
Market Rules
This prediction market aims to determine whether Israel's ongoing war against Hamas will conclude by the end of June 2024. The market will resolve as 'Yes' if at least one of the following conditions is met between January 1st and June 30, 2024:
- An official declaration is made by the Israeli government announcing the end of its state of war against Hamas.
- A declaration is made by either Israel or Hamas stating that the opposite side in the war has been fully neutralized, indicating a conclusive end to the military conflict.
- A peace treaty is signed between Israel and Hamas, or an authority that Hamas officially recognizes as legitimate to represent them, establishing a formal end to the hostilities.
The market will resolve as 'No' if none of the conditions mentioned above are met by the end of June 30, 2024.
The outcome will be determined based on the occurrence of any of the specific conditions outlined above, confirmed by official announcements or credible media reports. If there are conflicting reports or a lack of clear, verifiable information on whether the war has concluded according to the stated conditions, Futuur will decide between resolving the market in favor of the credible report or canceling the market, in which case all active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.