Will Ukraine recognize the separation of any portion of its territory in 2025?
Market Rules
In February 2014, Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula. Eight years later, in February 2022, Russia started a military assault against Ukraine after recognizing and signing assistance treaties with the insurrectionist republics of Luhansk (“Luhansk National Republic”) and Donetsk (“Donetsk National Republic”).
If by December 31st, 2025, the Ukrainian government recognizes as either an independent territory or part of another country's territory any territory that belonged to it on February 23rd, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”.