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US recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2025? Yes: real money 5%, play money 3% No: real money 95%, play money 97% Volume: real money 272.57909169, play money 19650 Bettors: real money 8, play money 21 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Foreign Affairs Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

US recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2025?

Market Rules

In January 2024, Axios reported that the US State Department reviewed possible political options for the recognition of a Palestinian state after the Israel-Hamas war. A change in the USA's position could be very consequential to the Middle East region.

This market aims to predict if, by December 31st, 2025, at 23:59 (UTC-3), the United States of America will declare to recognize an independent Palestinean state rather than just an occupied territory. If by that deadline, the United States either explicitly declares to recognize Palestine as an independent state or openly advocates for its recognition as a full member of the United Nations with voting rights, this market will resolve to "Yes".

If the US announces recognition contingent on future events or actions, this will not be considered sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.

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