Will the US recognize the new Syrian government by the end of June? Yes: real money 13%, play money 14% No: real money 87%, play money 86% Volume: real money 438.62491073, play money 26270 Bettors: real money 9, play money 6 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Syria Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 4550.9741174, play 86178.56160155 Bettors: real 30, play 103 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 37% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 31% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1701.56532237, play 150233.06645622 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2770.42679439, play 121513.0852775 Bettors: real 39, play 216 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211467) Volume: real 5546.85538499, play 138308.49694978 Bettors: real 35, play 68 Leading (real money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 31% Leading (play money): Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections 30% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3261.29128162, play 139020.85773009 Bettors: real 32, play 212 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Will the US recognize the new Syrian government by the end of June?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict if, by June 30, 2025, at 23:59 (UTC-3), the United States government will give formal diplomatic acknowledgment that the newly established government of Syria is the legitimate governing authority of the country. This may include official statements from the U.S. Department of State, the White House, or the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, confirming recognition. If no such recognition is made before the deadline, the market will resolve as "No."

Verification will rely on official government statements but secondary confirmation may come from reputable media sources if they directly cite official U.S. recognition. Expressions of support for political factions, opposition groups, or transitional authorities will not be sufficient unless an explicit recognition of a new government accompanies them.

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