Markets
Leaderboard
Will Ratinho Júnior be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026? Yes: real money 1%, play money 1% No: real money 99%, play money 99% Volume: real money 467.95558961, play money 23828.95398063 Bettors: real money 13, play money 11 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.60025846, play 243281.48116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 2% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 100% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6779.44719473, play 1075860.94599143 Bettors: real 103, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 30843.41425608, play 1608947.61908473 Bettors: real 145, play 303 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 83% Leading (play money): Flávio Bolsonaro 73% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2022.98957167, play 299397.79588014 Bettors: real 45, play 553 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 2%

Will Ratinho Júnior be confirmed as a presidential pre-candidate in Brazil by May 1, 2026?

Market Rules

This market will resolve as "Yes" if, by 11:59 PM (UTC-3) on May 1, 2026, Ratinho Júnior is formally confirmed by any party as a pre-candidate for the Brazilian presidency in the 2026 elections.

A "pre-candidate" is defined as someone who:

  1. has publicly declared their intention to run for president, regardless of formal registration with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); and
  2. got his pre-candidature endorsed by a political party.

The announcement must come from a registered political party or an authorized representative. Media speculation or unofficial statements will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Endorsements coming from other candidates or political activities that do not explicitly confirm Ratinho Júnior's condition as an official pre-candidate will not qualify. If no official confirmation is made by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No." In case of ambiguity or conflicting information, official sources or widely recognized media outlets will take precedence.

Tags

People also viewed