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Will Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Karina Milei will leave the office of Secretary General of the Presidency of Argentina at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Argentine government communications confirming her resignation, dismissal, or replacement, including official gazette publications or presidential announcements.

If Karina Milei ceases to hold the office during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary absences or leaves that do not result in her formally leaving the office will not count. If official government information is unclear or delayed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from multiple major, reputable Argentine or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive officeholding status, not minor procedural formalities. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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