New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026? Yes: real money 23%, play money 24% No: real money 77%, play money 76% Volume: real money 100.9697, play money 10099.9993 Bettors: real money 1, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress Related markets Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 161.74939202, play 125126.91555822 Bettors: real 16, play 265 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 6% Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? (ID: 166903) Volume: real 422.56782969, play 48116.87610589 Bettors: real 11, play 71 Leading (real money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 50% Leading (play money): Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections? 7% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1755.13293676, play 251150.95481092 Bettors: real 39, play 542 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 51% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 15%

New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether new constitutional or legislative limits on monocratic decisions in Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) will be approved between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records of constitutional amendments or legislation approved by Brazil’s National Congress that impose limits on monocratic (single-Justice) decisions of the STF.

If a constitutional amendment or law imposing such limits is approved during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Approval of alternative proposals with the same substantive effect will also count. If official congressional records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive approval of limits, not the specific bill number. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets