Will Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will complete a full withdrawal of its military troops from the internationally recognized territory of Georgia at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by the Russian or Georgian governments, or verified international monitoring reports confirming withdrawal.
If Russia fully withdraws all military personnel from Georgian territory during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial withdrawals or redeployments that leave any Russian military presence in Georgia will not count. If official confirmations are disputed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive completion of troop withdrawal, not partial or symbolic actions. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.