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Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 5% No: real money 92%, play money 95% Volume: real money 50.47496273, play money 8175.62277939 Bettors: real money 7, play money 6 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506767.83691805 Bettors: real 43, play 1222 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 50% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.60025846, play 243281.48116915 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 2% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 100% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 23945.18604528, play 1110933.36440038 Bettors: real 139, play 270 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 55% Leading (play money): Lula 57% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6764.14444757, play 1074380.63510033 Bettors: real 102, play 1880 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2014.44793683, play 285084.99022155 Bettors: real 45, play 552 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 18% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 9%

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.

If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count. If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive full membership status, not informal cooperation. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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