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Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 13%, play money 9% No: real money 87%, play money 91% Volume: real money 201.13678599, play money 22982.49313956 Bettors: real money 5, play money 3 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.91661259, play 255081.72083213 Bettors: real 43, play 549 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.77444312, play 941074.02876498 Bettors: real 100, play 1868 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.87900473, play 444831.44739855 Bettors: real 43, play 1218 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.7503085, play 215565.15116915 Bettors: real 27, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 161.94219097, play 150270.53470951 Bettors: real 20, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4%

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.

If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count. If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive full membership status, not informal cooperation. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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