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Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 5% No: real money 92%, play money 95% Volume: real money 50.47496273, play money 8175.62277939 Bettors: real money 7, play money 6 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Multilateral Organizations Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.60025846, play 243483.03126503 Bettors: real 28, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 2% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 2% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6779.44719473, play 1075860.94599143 Bettors: real 103, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 33263.43150623, play 1937757.79422903 Bettors: real 152, play 325 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 79% Leading (play money): Flávio Bolsonaro 65% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 299498.80666806 Bettors: real 45, play 553 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 2%

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Brazil will become a full member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or membership listings published by OPEC confirming Brazil’s admission as a full member.

If OPEC officially confirms Brazil as a full member during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Participation as an observer, dialogue partner, or as a non-member associate of OPEC+ will not count. If official OPEC communications are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive full membership status, not informal cooperation. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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