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Abiy Ahmed still Prime Minister of Ethiopia through the 2026 elections?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Abiy Ahmed will remain in office as Prime Minister of Ethiopia through Ethiopia’s national elections expected to take place in June 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Ethiopian government communications and announcements by Ethiopia’s National Election Board confirming the prime minister and the official election date.

If Abiy Ahmed remains Prime Minister of Ethiopia through the official 2026 election day, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary absences due to health or other reasons will not affect resolution as long as he officially retains the position of Prime Minister. If official sources are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive officeholding, not minor technicalities. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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