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Negative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026? Yes: real money 56%, play money 58% No: real money 44%, play money 42% Volume: real money 519.94670002, play money 50200.0007 Bettors: real money 2, play money 1 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Brazil, GDP Related markets Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 5753.43938187, play 932132.89794923 Bettors: real 94, play 1854 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 50% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 94% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1755.13293676, play 251150.95481092 Bettors: real 39, play 542 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 51% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 15% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 161.74939202, play 125126.91555822 Bettors: real 16, play 265 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 6% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.69527532, play 444537.5891163 Bettors: real 39, play 1216 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 25% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1154.38048418, play 213718.12816903 Bettors: real 25, play 403 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 7% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 100%

Negative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?

Market Rules

If, between the first quarter and the fourth quarter of 2026, any of Brazil's quarterly GDP results present a negative growth rate in comparison to the previous quarter, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

This market will be resolved according to results published by the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

Source: IBGE's SCNT report.

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