Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Market Rules
This market predicts whether Alexandre de Moraes will cease to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (Supremo Tribunal Federal, STF) at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026. A justice may leave the court due to resignation, retirement, death, removal through impeachment by the Brazilian Senate, or any other legally recognized termination of the appointment. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official publications and announcements from the Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF), the Brazilian Federal Senate, or Brazil’s official government gazette (Diário Oficial da União).
If Alexandre de Moraes permanently ceases to hold the position of Justice of the STF at any time during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences, medical leave, suspension of duties, or recusal from cases will not qualify if he retains the office.
If official institutional sources are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible Brazilian and international news organizations citing official government actions. Resolution will reflect the substantive fact of whether he remained a justice throughout 2026, not minor reporting delays. If the institutional status of the office cannot be conclusively determined from public sources, Futuur may cancel the market with a public explanation.