Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...? June 30, 2027: real money 15%, play money 26% December 31, 2026: real money 11%, play money 4% Volume: real money 59.6295976, play money 11840.8786086 Bettors: real money 15, play money 8 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Judiciary Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 506232.79690227 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6615.77746566, play 1064805.33194875 Bettors: real 101, play 1874 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 98% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 91% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 280411.38954277 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11%

Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether José Antonio Dias Toffoli (Dias Toffoli) will cease to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (Supremo Tribunal Federal, STF) at any time between the event creation date and the end date specified in each of the listed markets. A justice may leave the court due to resignation, retirement, death, removal through impeachment by the Brazilian Senate, or any other legally recognized termination of the appointment. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official publications and announcements from the Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF), the Brazilian Federal Senate, or Brazil’s official government gazette (Diário Oficial da União).

If official institutional sources are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible Brazilian and international news organizations citing official government actions. Resolution will reflect the substantive fact of whether he remained a justice throughout the market's total period, not minor reporting delays. If the institutional status of the office cannot be conclusively determined from public sources, Futuur may cancel the market with a public explanation.

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