U.S. x Russia nuclear arms control deal confirmed by...? December 31: real money 18%, play money 19% July 31: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 3.24424718, play money 240.96475507 Bettors: real money 2, play money 2 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Nuclear Issues Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1452.89459921, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 85, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1083.15402801, play 49356.17081938 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

U.S. x Russia nuclear arms control deal confirmed by...?

Market Rules

This set of markets tracks whether the United States and the Russian Federation reach an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation, across multiple deadlines. Each market resolves to "Yes" if a qualifying agreement is publicly announced as concluded and acknowledged by both governments on or before its deadline. The markets resolve independently: an agreement reached before an earlier deadline also resolves all later-deadline markets to "Yes". See individual market rules for full resolution criteria.

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