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Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...? December 31: real money 17%, play money 15% July 27: real money 50%, play money 50% Volume: real money 115.33550638, play money 5231.20891771 Bettors: real money 4, play money 4 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 182.38104071, play 14620.26262878 Bettors: real 13, play 23 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 458.38557718, play 19358.62570033 Bettors: real 31, play 25 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 31% Leading (play money): 3.25% 29% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 142.27517417, play 13132.34662699 Bettors: real 18, play 42 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 531.46017994, play 30406.22721814 Bettors: real 17, play 37 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 100%

Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...?

Market Rules

If Sébastien Lecornu ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of France for any period of time between the opening and ending dates specified in the market’s details, that market will resolve to "Yes". An official announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation or removal before the deadline resolves the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal takes effect. Once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable, even if he is subsequently reappointed. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

The Primary Designated Sources are official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the Government of France (gouvernement.fr) and the Élysée. If needed, a consensus of credible reporting by news outlets will be used, honoring the spirit of the market.

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