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Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...? December 31: real money 29%, play money 15% July 27: real money 50%, play money 50% Volume: real money 191.05662935, play money 5231.20891771 Bettors: real money 7, play money 4 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 888.46857274, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 142.27517417, play 13132.34662699 Bettors: real 18, play 42 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 781.23536905, play 49551.59236283 Bettors: real 41, play 26 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 50% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 40%

Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...?

Market Rules

If Sébastien Lecornu ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of France for any period of time between the opening and ending dates specified in the market’s details, that market will resolve to "Yes". An official announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation or removal before the deadline resolves the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal takes effect. Once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable, even if he is subsequently reappointed. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

The Primary Designated Sources are official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the Government of France (gouvernement.fr) and the Élysée. If needed, a consensus of credible reporting by news outlets will be used, honoring the spirit of the market.

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