Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 6%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 2%, play money 1% No change: real money 50%, play money 14% 25 bps increase: real money 89%, play money 85% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 14805.78671558, play money 19872.14783567 Bettors: real money 25, play money 6 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2595.67110988, play 32428.76163468 Bettors: real 28, play 91 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 45% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 44% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1693.81254225, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1126.05809971, play 62529.71983764 Bettors: real 19, play 57 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 11% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 6% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range resulting from the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting (scheduled for September 15–16, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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