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Fed interest rate decision — October 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% No change: real money 83%, play money 82% 25 bps increase: real money 16%, play money 16% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 918.24903505, play money 32323.99574181 Bettors: real money 13, play money 7 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1626.37917605, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 89, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 30, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Fed interest rate decision — October 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range resulting from the Federal Reserve’s October 2026 FOMC meeting, relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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