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US Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — August 2026 -0.1% or less: real money 1%, play money 1% 0.00%: real money 1%, play money 1% 0.10%: real money 5%, play money 5% 0.20%: real money 36%, play money 36% 0.30%: real money 54%, play money 54% 0.40%: real money 2%, play money 2% 0.5% or more: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 30904.17286983 Bettors: real 24, play 86 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1513.79739143, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

US Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — August 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the US Core PCE price index for August 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The bracket containing the reported figure resolves "Yes"; exactly one outcome wins.

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