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US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026 3.0% or less: real money 2%, play money 2% 3.10%: real money 17%, play money 17% 3.20%: real money 27%, play money 27% 3.30%: real money 20%, play money 20% 3.40%: real money 26%, play money 26% 3.50%: real money 5%, play money 5% 3.6% or more: real money 3%, play money 3% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 30904.17286983 Bettors: real 24, play 86 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1513.79739143, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the US Core PCE price index for the year ending August 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The bracket containing the reported figure resolves "Yes"; exactly one outcome wins.

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