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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? By December 31, 2026: real money 12%, play money 12% By March 31, 2026: real money 18%, play money 18% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Politics, Europe, Germany Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 203.9270019, play 18562.07009612 Bettors: real 13, play 24 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 6% Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? (ID: 185188) Volume: real 1014.3628699, play 50950.17996757 Bettors: real 19, play 83 Leading (real money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 98% Leading (play money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 86% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6779.44719473, play 1075860.94599143 Bettors: real 103, play 1882 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 96% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 142.27517417, play 13132.34662699 Bettors: real 18, play 42 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany, for any period of time, before the listed date. Markets resolve independently.

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