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Will the FDA approve the skin cancer vaccine by...? By June 30, 2027: real money 29%, play money 29% By September 30, 2027: real money 42%, play money 42% By December 31, 2027: real money 67%, play money 67% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Science, Transmissible Diseases, Covid-19 (Coronavirus), Vaccines Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1587.14367219, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 88, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 30, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Will the FDA approve the skin cancer vaccine by...?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the FDA grants approval of intismeran autogene (mRNA-4157/V940), the individualized neoantigen therapy developed by Moderna and Merck, for any indication by each of the dates below, 11:59 PM ET. Each market covers one deadline and resolves independently; a qualifying approval resolves every market whose deadline has not yet passed to "Yes". Resolution is based on official information from the FDA, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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