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US nonfarm payrolls: October Above 0: real money 82%, play money 82% Above 10,000: real money 81%, play money 81% Above 20,000: real money 71%, play money 71% Above 30,000: real money 65%, play money 65% Above 40,000: real money 60%, play money 60% Above 50,000: real money 56%, play money 56% Above 60,000: real money 60%, play money 60% Above 70,000: real money 50%, play money 50% Above 80,000: real money 45%, play money 45% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Employment Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1587.14367219, play 150094.17782247 Bettors: real 88, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1116.84292351, play 49473.81513658 Bettors: real 18, play 53 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 9% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 30, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

US nonfarm payrolls: October

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the change in total US nonfarm payroll employment for October 2026, as reported by the BLS in the Employment Situation report scheduled for November 6, 2026, is strictly above the listed number of jobs. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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