Will the AI bubble burst by…?
Market Rules
Each market counts qualifying events up to 11:59 PM ET on its own deadline (December 31, 2026 or June 30, 2027). A market resolves "Yes" once at least three of six listed AI-downturn events (NVIDIA, SOXX or major AI-hardware-supplier share collapses, an OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy, an OpenAI acquisition, or H100 rental prices at $1.00 or less) occur within a single 90-day period ending by that deadline. Markets resolve independently — more than one can resolve "Yes".